Silver, Shatters

Silver Shatters Price Records Amid Supply Crunch

11.12.2025 - 15:17:02

Silber Preis XC0009653103

In a striking divergence from traditional market logic, silver prices have surged to unprecedented levels, completely disregarding recent cautious signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Instead of a pullback, a powerful rush into hard assets is underway, with the white metal decoupling from interest rate dynamics due to an acute physical shortage.

The commodity achieved a historic milestone today, reaching a new all-time high of $62.63 per ounce. This caps an extraordinary 30-day rally, during which the metal’s value soared by 22.62%. This explosive move comes despite a monetary policy environment that would typically pressure non-yielding assets.

The "Hawkish Cut" and Market Disregard

The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting resulted in a widely anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut, lowering the benchmark to a target range of 3.50% to 3.75%. However, the committee’s internal dissent—a 9 to 3 vote—and Chairman Jerome Powell’s tempered outlook revealed a restrictive undertone. The updated "Dot Plot" projection now suggests only one additional cut is likely through 2026, a scenario analysts have labeled a "hawkish cut." Such a stance typically bolsters the U.S. dollar and weighs on metals. Silver’s defiant climb to a fresh 52-week high underscores the overwhelming force of its unique fundamental drivers.

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A Physical Supply Crisis Takes Command

The primary engine behind the price explosion is a tangible supply-demand imbalance, not financial speculation. Market data indicates rising leasing rates, a clear sign of systemic stress and dwindling inventories in key warehouses. Traders are reacting anxiously to tightened export regulations set to take effect from China in January. Fears that one of the globe's most critical production hubs could effectively dry up are triggering preemptive buying on futures exchanges.

Furthermore, industrial consumption is accelerating. The solar energy sector and the power-hungry infrastructure for artificial intelligence data centers are absorbing supply faster than mining output can replenish it. This has led to a form of "seller's strike," where holders of physical metal are reluctant to part with their stockpiles in anticipation of worsening shortages.

This growing chasm between restrictive central bank policy and raw material reality defines the current market. While the Fed can print currency, it cannot manufacture commodities. Consequently, critically low stockpiles in London and Shanghai remain the decisive price driver. As long as industrial users are compelled to secure their supply chains irrespective of price, the advantage sits firmly with the bulls.

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