Silver’s Meteoric Rise: A Perfect Storm of Scarcity and Demand
18.12.2025 - 03:49:03Silber Preis XC0009653103
While gold often captures headlines, silver is delivering a spectacular performance this year, with gains of approximately 128%. This surge is not merely a speculative bet on monetary policy but is driven by a powerful convergence of deep structural deficits and soaring industrial consumption, propelling the white metal to unprecedented heights.
Unlike previous rallies, the current price advance is fundamentally anchored in robust physical consumption. Industrial applications are absorbing silver at a record pace, creating a new demand paradigm. Since 2016, industrial usage has climbed from 31,000 tonnes to over 36,000 tonnes in 2024.
Key sectors are driving this insatiable appetite:
* Solar Power Expansion: The photovoltaic industry is consuming unprecedented volumes for solar panel production.
* Electric Vehicle Adoption: A single electric vehicle can require up to 50 grams of silver, significantly more than a traditional combustion engine vehicle.
* AI Infrastructure Buildout: The rapid expansion of data centers to support artificial intelligence is massively increasing demand for electronic components containing silver.
A Market Gripped by Physical Scarcity
This wave of demand is colliding with a supply side that cannot respond quickly. Silver is primarily mined as a by-product of copper, lead, or gold extraction, meaning production cannot be easily ramped up in the short term. The resulting squeeze is evident in inventory data: stockpiles in London vaults have plummeted by about one-third since June 2022, standing at just 22,126 tonnes—a multi-year low.
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This fundamental tightness is reflected directly in price action. Silver closed yesterday's session at $65.63 per ounce, marking a precise new 52-week high. Momentum remains powerful, with the metal gaining nearly 30% in value over the past 30 days alone.
Monetary Policy Adds Speculative Fuel
The prospect of lower interest rates is acting as a powerful accelerant for investor interest. Recent commentary from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has suggested the potential for rate cuts of up to one percentage point to support a softening labor market. With unemployment at 4.6% and job growth nearly stagnant, pressure on the central bank is mounting.
Markets are now pricing in a high probability of initial policy easing steps by early 2026. Because silver pays no yield, lower benchmark rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the metal, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds. This macroeconomic shift is driving increased capital into hard assets.
The combination of depleted inventories, relentless industrial demand, and the prospect of cheaper money creates a stable foundation for elevated prices. As long as the structural supply deficit persists, silver's path of least resistance appears pointed firmly upward, with market analysts already setting their sights on the $70 per ounce threshold.
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