Resmed Shares Defy Strong Earnings with Unexpected Decline
03.11.2025 - 11:29:04Analyst Confidence Remains Unshaken
The market response to Resmed's latest financial report presents a puzzling scenario for investors. Despite posting impressive quarterly results that surpassed expectations, the medical technology company experienced a noticeable drop in its share price. This divergence between fundamental performance and market sentiment raises questions about whether temporary investor jitters or deeper concerns are driving the reaction.
Financial experts maintain a broadly optimistic outlook on Resmed's prospects. Among 15 covering analysts, the consensus recommendation stands at "Moderate Buy," with an average price target of approximately $297 USD – indicating significant potential upside from current trading levels. Investment firm Ord Minnett reaffirmed its "Buy" rating with a target of A$48.80, highlighting robust mask sales and effective cost management. William Blair continues to recommend the stock as a "Strong Buy," maintaining this position despite minor adjustments to earnings projections.
Quarterly Performance Exceeds Expectations
Resmed delivered what would normally be considered an exceptional start to its fiscal year. The company reported revenue growth of 9% to reach $1.34 billion, primarily driven by sustained demand for sleep and respiratory therapy equipment. Even more impressive was the expansion of the gross margin, which strengthened by 2.8 percentage points to reach 62.0%. On a per-share basis, adjusted earnings surged 16% higher to $2.55.
Market Reaction Contrasts with Fundamentals
Contrary to what these strong numbers might suggest, Resmed's stock faced selling pressure that manifested first in its US listing on Friday, followed by a noticeable decline in Australian trading on Monday. This disconnect suggests that short-term market dynamics currently outweigh solid quarterly performance in influencing investor behavior.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Resmed?
Long-Term Growth Drivers Intact
The fundamental case for Resmed's business remains compelling. Recent research published in The Lancet Respiratory Medicine projects that approximately 77 million US adults will suffer from obstructive sleep apnea by 2050, representing a 35% increase from 2020 levels. This expanding patient population needing scalable therapeutic solutions positions Resmed advantageously as a market leader.
Innovation and Financial Stewardship
The company continues to advance its product offerings, having introduced the industry's first full-face cloth mask, the AirTouch F30i. Simultaneously, Resmed has integrated its AI assistant Dawn into the myAir platform. Demonstrating confidence in its financial health, the board maintained its dividend payment and continues to execute share repurchases.
The Critical Question
Whether Resmed's shares can overcome this period of market skepticism and validate their underlying strength remains the central question for investors. The company has established the framework for sustained growth through its strong quarterly performance, innovative product pipeline, and exposure to a multi-billion dollar market. The missing ingredient appears to be investor conviction that these advantages will translate into share price appreciation.
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