Original-Research: LION E-Mobility AG - from NuWays AG 04.04.2025 / 09:00 CET / CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
04.04.2025 - 09:00:49Original-Research: LION E-Mobility AG (von NuWays AG): BUY
Original-Research: LION E-Mobility AG - from NuWays AG 04.04.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Classification of NuWays AG to LION E-Mobility AG Company Name: LION E-Mobility AG ISIN: CH0560888270 Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: BUY from: 04.04.2025 Target price: EUR 3.20 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Christian Sandherr Weak Q4 prelims, op. trough should have passed; chg. FY24 preliminary sales came in at a mere EUR 16.9m, implying a 70% yoy decline (falling short of our EUR 33.2m estimate) as a result of a strongly declined sentiment across the company's most important end markets, storage solutions and mobility. The latter was strongly impacted by weakened demand for end products (e.g. electric mini buses), falling battery prices with the resulting "wait and see" mentality of customers but also several insolvencies. Preliminary Q4 sales stood at only EUR 4.5m, down 78% yoy. FY24 prelim. EBITDA was negative at EUR -4.2m as a result of the negative operating leverage but also development work for the new chemistry cells, especially NMC+ (eNuW ~ EUR 1.5m). The EUR 1.9m positive EBITDA figure in Q4 can be explained by book gains related to the divestment of LION's stake in TÜV SÜD Battery testing. Also, during the earnings call, management highlighted renegotiated supplier contracts, which positively impacted the group's gross margin and should be sustainable going forward. Good start into the year. Positively, it seems like the company has passed the market's trough as reflected by the good start into the year with EUR 6.4m sales (vs. EUR 1.2m in Q1 2024) and a "clearly positive EBITDA" (vs. EUR -2.6m in Q1 2024). This positive momentum is expected to persist throughout FY25 as management guides for EUR 28-35m sales (eNuW: EUR 32m) and positive EBITDA (eNuW: break-even). Portfolio expansion ongoing. LION will deliver first orders of its new higher energy density battery pack (NMC+) in April, with a further ramp up throughout 2025. With this, the company will also introduce "narrow packs", increasing the addressable markets. During the earnings call, management also presented a new project. As per request from a major German truck OEM, LION is working on a 540kWh battery for trucks that can charge >400km range within the legally required 15 minute break of truck drivers. Immersion cooled batteries retain game changer potential. With last year's Q3 results, management shared promising testing results of the "LIGHT Battery". Despite some delays (potential series application), the prospects remain significant. Targeting only PHEV and BEV cars with > EUR 100k selling prices, the market should reach up to EUR 1.4bn by 2030. Assuming further positive testing results, first small testvolumes could already impact LION's 2026 P&L, in our view. This should serve as proof-of-concept and hence justify the inclusion within our long-term growth estimates. BUY with a new EUR 3.20 PT (old: EUR 3.60) based on DCF. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/32162.pdf For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The EQS Distribution Services include Regulatory Announcements, Financial/Corporate News and Press Releases. Archive at www.eqs-news.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2111684 04.04.2025 CET/CEST