Original-Research: DEMIRE AG - from NuWays AG 24.02.2025 / 09:25 CET / CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
24.02.2025 - 09:26:21Original-Research: DEMIRE AG (von NuWays AG): BUY
Original-Research: DEMIRE AG - from NuWays AG 24.02.2025 / 09:25 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Classification of NuWays AG to DEMIRE AG Company Name: DEMIRE AG ISIN: DE000A0XFSF0 Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: BUY from: 24.02.2025 Target price: EUR 15.00 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Philipp Sennewald What's ahead in FY25e after successful refinancing? Chg. Topic: Following the successful refinancing of DEMIRE's EUR 600m corporate bond (EUR 499m outstanding notional) in Q4'24, we take a look at the company's prospects for FY25e and beyond. Mind you, that the bond was extended until YE'27 with an increased cash coupon of 5% as well as a 3% PIK coupon in 2027. Moreover, the refinancing framework obliges DEMIRE to reduce the outstanding notional, which stands at EUR 253m following a tender for EUR 50m at par and a tender for EUR 196m at 76.25%, by another EUR 50m in FY25e and '26e respectively. Otherwise, the company would have to pay a penalty fee of 3% in FY25e and 2% in FY26e. We hence expect management to dispose further assets in the course of the year (eNuW: EUR 89m GAV) as well as next year (eNuW: EUR 43m GAV). In our view the company is likely going to sell several smaller to mid-sized assets (eNuW: EUR 10-40m GAV each) at a maximum discount of 5%. The latter should hereby be seen as conservative given easing market conditions in the real estate sector, hence providing a certain upside to our estimates. As a result of the ongoing disposals, we expect rental income to reduce to EUR 56.0m in FY25e and EUR 52.3m in FY26e. Besides the reduced asset base, the high share of CPI-linked rental contracts is seen to have a positive effect while the increasing number of insolvencies and thus a higher vacancy will have the opposite effect. On the bottom line, FFO is seen to come down to EUR 17.1m this year and EUR 16.1m in the following driven by the same effects. On a positive note, the targeted CapEx measures are set to improve the attractiveness of the portfolio to tenants, potentially improving WAULT and vacancy. Moreover, the company currently has no incremental financing needs thanks to the refinancing and operating cash generation. Against this backdrop, current valuation remains undemanding as the stock is trading on a 76% discount to its NAV. We hence maintain our BUY recommendation with an unchanged PT of EUR 1.50 based on our NAV model. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31833.pdf For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The EQS Distribution Services include Regulatory Announcements, Financial/Corporate News and Press Releases. Archive at www.eqs-news.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2090305 24.02.2025 CET/CEST