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Nvidia’s Market Position Challenged by Potential Meta-Google Alliance

26.11.2025 - 03:51:05

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The investment landscape for artificial intelligence infrastructure experienced significant tremors this week as reports surfaced of a potential strategic shift by one of Nvidia's most important clients. Meta Platforms, the parent company of Facebook, is reportedly in advanced discussions to purchase AI chips directly from Google starting in 2027, a development that has raised substantial questions about Nvidia's long-term market dominance.

Trading activity reflected investor concern following the news. During Tuesday's session, Nvidia shares temporarily declined by more than 7 percent, dragging down competitors like AMD in the process. Alphabet, Google's parent company, emerged as a beneficiary of the sector rotation. From a technical analysis perspective, the sell-off has left visible damage, with the stock now trading approximately 5 percent lower for the week and falling below the closely-watched 50-day moving average of €161.31.

Strategic Implications of the Potential Agreement

The reported negotiations between Meta and Google represent a significant escalation in the competitive dynamics of the semiconductor industry. According to market intelligence, Meta is considering integrating Google's proprietary Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) into its data centers, potentially reducing its historical reliance on Nvidia's processors. This strategic reconsideration comes from one of Nvidia's most substantial customers in the AI infrastructure space, with Meta projected to invest over $70 billion in this sector during the current year alone.

Google's Competitive Advancement

Google's TPUs have undergone a substantial evolution from internal solutions to potentially viable alternatives that could challenge Nvidia's supremacy in specific AI applications. Company executives at Google have internally estimated that third-party sales of their processing units could capture approximately 10 percent of Nvidia's annual revenue, representing a meaningful opportunity for market share acquisition.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nvidia?

This competitive pressure extends beyond mere revenue concerns to impact Nvidia's profitability metrics. While the chipmaker continues to maintain impressive gross margins exceeding 73 percent, recent quarterly results have shown a slight contraction compared to the previous year. The underlying message from the market is clear: major cloud infrastructure providers are actively seeking to diversify their supply chains and develop alternative solutions to reduce single-supplier dependency.

Analytical Perspectives on the Sell-Off

Despite the negative market reaction, some financial experts caution against overreaction. Veteran market commentator Jim Cramer characterized the selling pressure as "fear-driven" and suggested investors should not prematurely dismiss the market leader. He maintained that those with conviction in the long-term artificial intelligence narrative should maintain their investment positions.

Nvidia's Strategic Position and Response

Nvidia continues to demonstrate significant strengths despite emerging competitive threats. CEO Jensen Huang highlighted during an October presentation that the company has accumulated a massive $500 billion order backlog for its upcoming Blackwell and Rubin platforms through 2026. Company leadership consistently emphasizes their technological advantage, asserting they remain approximately one generation ahead of competing solutions.

The potential alliance between Meta and Google nonetheless signals that Nvidia's period of relatively unchallenged market dominance may be approaching its conclusion. For investors, the critical question will be whether other major clients follow Meta's potential example in seeking alternative suppliers. Coming quarterly financial results will provide crucial evidence regarding Nvidia's ability to maintain its competitive edge within an increasingly aggressive market environment.

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