NFL Standings shake-up: Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and Eagles rewire the playoff race
26.01.2026 - 04:03:17The NFL Standings just got a whole lot messier. With Patrick Mahomes dragging the Chiefs through another prime-time grinder, Lamar Jackson lighting up defenses again and the Eagles surviving yet another late-game scare, the playoff race in both conferences tightened in a way that feels far more like January than mid-season.
From last-second field goals to goal-line stands and a couple of true blowouts, this week flipped the script on the playoff picture and reshuffled who looks like a true Super Bowl contender and who is slipping toward the Wild Card race dogfight.
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Look at the top of the NFL Standings right now and the headliners are familiar, but the ground beneath them is moving. The Chiefs and Ravens keep stacking wins, the Eagles stay perched near the top of the NFC, and yet every Sunday brings another reminder that one blown coverage or red zone turnover can flip seeding in a heartbeat.
Mahomes drags Chiefs through another thriller
The latest Chiefs win was textbook Mahomes: improvised magic, icy throws on third and long, and just enough late-game execution to silence a hostile crowd. Kansas City’s franchise quarterback once again owned the high-leverage downs, ripping chunk plays outside the numbers and extending drives with his legs when the pocket collapsed.
In the box score it pops: multiple touchdown passes, north of 250 passing yards and a passer rating that puts him right in the thick of the MVP race. But the story goes beyond numbers. The Chiefs offense, which has felt disjointed at times this season, finally found rhythm in the intermediate passing game. Travis Kelce kept moving the chains underneath, and a rotating cast of receivers turned shallow crossers into yards after the catch.
Defensively, Kansas City clamped down in the red zone. A potential momentum-changing drive turned into a field goal after a perfectly timed blitz and a key pass breakup on a fade in the corner of the end zone. That four-point swing shows up in the standings as just another W, but on tape it looks like the kind of sequence that separates a Super Bowl contender from a one-and-done Wild Card team.
After the game, players talked about the vibe feeling like a playoff atmosphere: hostile crowd, tight margins, and every snap in the fourth quarter feeling like a season-definer. The stadium noise, the two-minute warning tension, the clock bleeding away as Mahomes stood calm in the pocket – it all underscored why the Chiefs are still the measuring stick in the AFC.
Lamar Jackson keeps Ravens in Super Bowl conversation
On the other side of the AFC, Lamar Jackson once again reminded everyone why defensive coordinators lose sleep mid-week. Baltimore’s offense opened the game in attack mode, with Jackson ripping timing throws over the middle and punishing man coverage whenever the defense turned its back.
He piled up well over 200 total yards with multiple touchdowns, mixing precision from the pocket with those off-script moments that leave edge rushers staring at empty space. His pocket presence has taken another step this season. Instead of bailing early, he slid, reset and hit wideouts on comeback routes that keep the chains moving and defenses guessing.
In the red zone, Baltimore went heavy personnel and leaned into play-action. Jackson sold the run, pulled the ball and fired darts to tight ends slipping behind linebackers who bit on the fake. It was clinical, and it kept the Ravens firmly near the top of the AFC playoff picture.
Defensively, the Ravens’ pass rush turned the game with a couple of drive-killing sacks and a late pressure that forced an errant throw in the flat. The near-pick-six that followed highlighted how close this defense is to swinging entire games by itself. In a conference loaded with elite quarterbacks, that matters when you start projecting who can win in Arrowhead or on the road in January.
Eagles grind out another win, but cracks show
The Eagles’ latest result fits their season-long pattern: not always pretty, but brutally effective. Jalen Hurts pushed the ball vertically just enough to keep safeties honest, then went back to the bread and butter – RPOs, quick game and the power rushing attack behind one of the best offensive lines in football.
The stat line does not scream shootout, but every time the game slipped toward danger, Hurts found an answer. A third-and-8 laser on a deep in-breaking route, a perfectly placed back-shoulder ball, then the signature sneak in short-yardage to move the sticks. Philly’s offense owned time of possession, leaning on defensive fronts and bleeding the clock late.
Still, there were warning signs. Missed tackles turned modest gains into chunk plays, and a blown coverage in the third quarter lit up the secondary for a long touchdown that electrified the stadium. If there is a soft spot on this roster, it is on the back end, and contenders like the 49ers and Cowboys will circle that on film.
Upsets, heartbreaks and the Wild Card chaos
Beyond the heavyweights, this week delivered a couple of true shockers that jolted the NFL Standings. One underdog flipped the script with a late touchdown drive capped by a cold-blooded throw into the back of the end zone on fourth down. Another team punched above its weight with a defensive clinic, turning a supposed shootout into a grind-it-out field goal fest.
These upsets did more than break betting slips. They shoved preseason darlings deeper into the Wild Card race and breathed life back into teams that looked cooked in September. Suddenly the middle tier of each conference is packed with 0.500-ish records, tiebreakers already looming large and every divisional matchup feeling like a mini-playoff.
The updated playoff picture: AFC & NFC at a glance
Zoom out and the new NFL Standings tell a story of stability at the top and pure chaos underneath. A few powerhouses have separated, but the second and third tiers are packed shoulder to shoulder, with point differential and conference record sharpening the edges of every argument.
Here is a compact look at how the top of each conference is shaping up based on the latest results, focusing on division leaders and Wild Card contenders.
| Conference | Seed | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC | 1 | Chiefs | Conference leader, inside track to first-round bye |
| AFC | 2 | Ravens | Division leader, pushing hard for No. 1 seed |
| AFC | 3 | Other division leader | Comfortable but not locked in |
| AFC | 4 | Other division leader | Hosting a playoff game, record lagging top seeds |
| AFC | 5 | Top Wild Card | Would be road favorite on Wild Card Weekend |
| AFC | 6 | Wild Card contender | Firmly in the hunt, tiebreakers crucial |
| AFC | 7 | Wild Card bubble | Hanging on, thin margin for error |
| NFC | 1 | Eagles | Conference leader, eyeing home-field advantage |
| NFC | 2 | 49ers or top challenger | True Super Bowl contender, dominant point differential |
| NFC | 3 | Division leader | Firm hold on division, chasing top seeds |
| NFC | 4 | Division leader | Likely weakest division champ on paper |
| NFC | 5 | Top Wild Card | Could be favored on the road in January |
| NFC | 6 | Wild Card contender | Defense-driven playoff hopeful |
| NFC | 7 | Wild Card bubble | Needs every tiebreaker and healthy roster |
The top AFC seeds, led by the Chiefs and Ravens, currently look like the most complete teams in football – balanced between explosive offense and opportunistic defense. In the NFC, the Eagles’ record holds up, but at least one challenger is playing cleaner football on both sides of the ball right now, closing the gap in the race for home-field advantage.
MVP race: Mahomes, Lamar and the star power surge
The MVP race is tightening just as the NFL Standings do. Mahomes and Lamar Jackson are not just winning; they are carrying their teams in high-leverage moments.
Mahomes’ efficiency on third down and in the red zone remains absurd. Even on nights when the box score does not show 400 yards and four touchdowns, his impact is obvious in the way defenses play him: two high safeties, exotic blitzes, constantly changing looks – and still he finds matchups he likes pre-snap and punishes mismatches post-snap.
Lamar, meanwhile, is putting together the kind of season that jumps off the film. He is carving teams up from the pocket and still ripping off back-breaking scrambles when protections crack. Multiple touchdown games have become routine, and his total yards from scrimmage keep stacking up week after week. Add in a couple of highlight-reel runs where he turns sure sacks into first downs, and you have the kind of narrative voters remember in January.
Behind them, a second tier of quarterbacks and skill players is trying to force its way into the conversation. One NFC signal-caller is quietly stacking 300-yard outings with low turnover numbers, while an AFC receiver is on a tear with consecutive games over 100 receiving yards and multiple touchdowns. A defensive star, already among the league leaders in sacks, just added another multi-sack performance that flipped field position and ignited his sideline.
Injury report and what it means for Super Bowl contenders
The week’s injury report delivered another gut punch to a couple of contenders. One high-profile wide receiver left with a lower-leg issue, while a Pro Bowl-caliber cornerback exited with a non-contact injury that immediately had teammates waving for the training staff.
In the short term, that shifts game plans. Offensive coordinators will lean more heavily on tight ends and backs in the passing game, while defensive coaches scramble to adjust coverages and protect younger corners suddenly thrust into starting roles. It also changes how we talk about Super Bowl chances. A team that once felt like a lock to be a January staple suddenly looks a little more fragile, a little more one-dimensional.
Elsewhere, a starting running back returning from a nagging injury gave his team much-needed balance, taking pressure off his quarterback and keeping the offense out of obvious passing downs. That kind of development matters in late-season weather games and can be the difference between living in field goal range and constantly playing behind the sticks.
Looking ahead: must-watch games and shifting odds
The next slate will crank the intensity even higher. Chiefs matchups have become weekly national events, and any time they run into another AFC heavyweight it feels like a de facto seeding tiebreaker. Ravens games, especially against top-10 defenses, are now litmus tests for just how sustainable this new version of their offense really is.
In the NFC, the Eagles are heading into a brutal stretch that will stress-test every weakness. A looming clash against another top contender could decide who holds the tiebreaker in the race for the No. 1 seed. That is not just about bragging rights; it is about forcing everyone else to play outdoors, on your turf, with your crowd roaring through every snap of the two-minute drill.
For bubble teams, divisional games now come with playoff-level stakes. A single busted coverage or missed chip shot field goal could swing both the Wild Card race and a head-to-head tiebreaker that will sit on the standings board for months.
As the schedule tightens, the line between Super Bowl contender and hopeful gets sharper. The teams with elite quarterback play, healthy playmakers and a pass rush that travels in January are the ones that will keep rising up the NFL Standings. Everyone else is just trying to survive the gauntlet and sneak into the tournament.
If this week is any indication, buckle up. The standings will not stop shifting, the MVP race is far from settled, and every Sunday from here on out is going to feel just a little bit more like playoff football.


