Newmont, Mining

Newmont Mining Shares Scale Unprecedented Heights

20.12.2025 - 16:41:05

Newmont Mining US6516391066

The world's largest gold producer, Newmont Mining, has entered uncharted territory, with its stock achieving a record peak on Friday. The rally, showing no immediate signs of fading, has propelled the company's shares to a staggering 147 percent gain since the start of the year, positioning it as one of 2025's standout performers. Its market valuation now exceeds $110 billion. The surge prompts an examination of the key drivers behind this sustained upward momentum.

A significant factor underpinning the stock's strength is sustained institutional demand. Institutional investors control a commanding 68.85 percent of outstanding shares. Recent filings reveal substantial position increases, with Envestnet Asset Management boosting its stake by 176.4 percent and Knights of Columbus Asset Advisors by 59.6 percent. Since April, the equity has triggered six "Outlier 20" signals, indicative of exceptionally strong institutional capital inflows.

On the operational front, Newmont has reached a milestone with its Ahafo North project in Ghana commencing commercial production. The mine is projected to yield approximately 50,000 ounces of gold in 2025. Concurrently, management is evaluating strategic options, which include a potential acquisition of Barrick's Nevada gold assets. Newmont already holds a minority partnership interest in these assets.

Quarterly Performance Exceeds Expectations

The foundation for this impressive market performance was laid by the firm's third-quarter results, which surpassed analyst forecasts across key metrics. Newmont reported earnings per share of $1.71, soundly beating the consensus estimate of $1.44. Revenue also outperformed, coming in at $5.52 billion against a projected $5.19 billion, representing a 20 percent year-over-year increase.

The company's financial health is further illustrated by its profitability ratios:
* Return on Equity: 20.35 percent
* Net Margin: 33.42 percent
* Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.17
* Price-to-Earnings Ratio: 15.76

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Newmont Mining?

For the full fiscal year, market experts anticipate earnings per share to reach $3.45.

Analyst Upgrades Reflect Growing Optimism

These robust fundamentals have prompted several major financial institutions to revise their outlooks upward. National Bankshares raised its price target from $110 to $120 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating. Scotiabank upgraded the stock to "Sector Outperform," significantly increasing its target from $71.50 to $114. In a notable move, Macquarie lifted its recommendation from "Hold" to "Strong Buy."

Other prominent targets include Bank of America's $115 fair value assessment and Citigroup's $104 valuation. Consensus ratings show five analysts advocate a "Strong Buy," thirteen recommend "Buy," and four suggest "Hold." The average price target stands at $96.37, which remains below the current trading level.

Shareholders will receive a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on December 22. Newmont has maintained an uninterrupted dividend payout for 55 years. With a conservative payout ratio of 15.53 percent, the company retains substantial capacity for reinvestment and growth. Market attention now turns to whether the shares can consistently defend the psychologically significant $100 threshold in the coming week.

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