IREN, Shares

IREN Shares Plunge Despite Record Earnings and Major Microsoft Partnership

12.11.2025 - 04:18:04

IREN AU0000185993

The dramatic sell-off in IREN shares presents a puzzling scenario for investors. Over a brutal four-day stretch, the stock plummeted more than 25%, a stark reversal for one of the market's recent high-flyers. This decline unfolded even as the company announced a monumental $9.7 billion agreement with Microsoft and published record-shattering quarterly results, leaving market participants to question the disconnect between corporate performance and share price action.

The fundamental news from IREN has been overwhelmingly positive, highlighting a successful strategic pivot. The cornerstone of this transformation is a five-year, $9.7 billion pact with tech titan Microsoft. This agreement provides Microsoft with access to state-of-the-art NVIDIA GPUs for its cloud services, firmly establishing IREN's new identity as a key player in AI infrastructure, a significant evolution from its origins as a Bitcoin miner.

This strategic shift is already yielding impressive financial results, as evidenced by the company's first-quarter FY2026 report:

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying IREN?

  • Revenue reached $240.3 million, representing a massive year-over-year increase.
  • Earnings per share came in at $1.08, dramatically surpassing analyst estimates of $0.14.
  • The company reported a net profit of $384.6 million, a remarkable recovery from a $51.7 million loss in the same quarter last year.
  • The legacy Bitcoin mining division contributed $232.9 million, while the nascent AI cloud business generated $7.3 million.

Profit-Taking Following Meteoric Rise

Market experts suggest the recent downturn is likely a technical correction following an unsustainable rally rather than a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals. Since the start of the year, IREN's stock had skyrocketed by over 386%. Such explosive gains often lead to a period of consolidation as investors cash in on their profits. The stock's volatility, measured at nearly 118% year-to-date, confirms its status as a holding unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

The sell-off continued this week, with shares falling another 4.64% on Tuesday to close at $57.38. This marked the fourth consecutive day of losses, pulling the price well below its recent 52-week high of $66.51. Despite the sharp pullback, some analysts maintain a bullish outlook. Canaccord Genuity, for instance, has raised its price target for IREN to $70.

The central question for the market is whether this is a temporary pause in a longer-term growth story or a sign that the market is underestimating the potential of IREN's AI-driven transformation.

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