Hello Group’s Q3 2025 Report: A Pivotal Moment for the Social Media Stock

Investors in Hello Group Inc. (A) are focusing on a key date this week. The Chinese social media company is scheduled to release its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 before the market opens on Wednesday, December 10th. Trading at a closing price of $7.06 last Friday, the equity presents a mixed picture as the market awaits concrete performance data.

Market experts are not aligned in their assessment of the stock. The consensus rating among analysts is a "Hold," accompanied by an average 12-month price target of $10.00. However, this masks significant disagreement. In October, Zacks Research downgraded its recommendation to "Strong Sell." Conversely, Weiss Ratings reaffirmed its "Hold" stance in November.

From a valuation perspective, Hello Group carries a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.44 and commands a market capitalization of approximately $1.13 billion. A notably low beta of 0.43 suggests the share price has historically been less volatile than the broader market.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Hello Group (A) (A)?

Key Metrics and Market Positioning

For the upcoming Q3 report, analyst consensus estimates are clearly defined. They are anticipating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.2925 on revenue of about $365.2 million. The stock's recent closing price places it slightly below its 200-day moving average of $7.63, a level often watched by technical traders for signs of long-term trend direction. Its 50-day moving average sits at $6.99.

Institutional ownership exceeds 50% of the company's shares, a factor that can lead to pronounced price movements when large orders are executed. Recent filings showed that investors such as Walleye Capital and Norges Bank established new positions during the second quarter.

The earnings release will provide the next significant catalyst, indicating whether Hello Group can meet expectations and potentially build momentum toward challenging its 52-week high of $9.22.