Gold, Takes

Gold Takes a Breather After Record-Setting Rally

21.10.2025 - 18:36:02

Fundamental Drivers Remain Supportive

The gold market is experiencing a modest pullback following its spectacular surge to unprecedented levels earlier this week. After reaching a historic peak exceeding $4,345 per ounce on Monday, spot prices have retreated by 0.43 percent to $4,338.87. This movement represents typical profit-taking activity following a substantial upward run.

Despite the current price adjustment, the underlying factors supporting gold's strength continue to exert influence:

  • Market expectations have fully priced in a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction for November
  • Persistent geopolitical tensions sustain safe-haven demand among investors
  • The potential for a US government shutdown adds another layer of market uncertainty
  • Anticipation surrounds upcoming trade discussions between US and Chinese officials in Malaysia

Central Bank Policy Fuels Momentum

Monetary policy continues to provide favorable conditions for gold appreciation. Financial markets are not only anticipating a November rate cut with certainty but are also projecting additional easing measures in December. This accommodative stance from the central bank reduces the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal, thereby stimulating institutional investment.

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Geopolitical Developments in Focus

Market attention is concentrated on high-level discussions between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng. President Trump has indicated willingness to negotiate, describing previously threatened tariffs as "unsustainable." Whether this diplomatic effort will genuinely ease trade tensions remains uncertain.

Profit-Taking Interrupts Bullish Momentum

The impressive upward trajectory has temporarily stalled as investors capitalize on record price levels. This selling pressure has pushed gold below the psychologically significant $4,340 threshold. Market observers are questioning whether this consolidation represents merely a pause before the next advance.

Year-to-Date Performance Remains Impressive

Even with today's correction, gold has delivered remarkable returns of 60 percent year-to-date, outperforming all major asset classes. This historic bull market has been fueled by a combination of central bank acquisitions, ETF inflows, and persistent geopolitical risks. The prevailing question among analysts is not if but when the next price record will be established.

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