Freddie Mac Shares: A Valuation Puzzle Amid Market Turbulence
06.11.2025 - 14:20:04Quarterly Results Present Contradictory Picture
Freddie Mac's stock is demonstrating extreme volatility as the mortgage financier struggles to convince investors of its worth, with mixed results evident in both price action and fundamental performance.
The company's latest quarterly figures reveal a complex financial landscape. While net interest income climbed 9% to $5.5 billion, net income contracted by 11% to $2.8 billion. More dramatically, non-interest income plummeted by a substantial 66%.
Despite these challenges, Freddie Mac's core mortgage business continued to expand:
* The total mortgage portfolio grew to $3.62 trillion
* Single-family segment increased by 2% to $3.14 trillion
* Multifamily portfolio rose 6% to $480 billion
Wild Price Swings Mask Deeper Valuation Issues
Recent trading sessions have been particularly turbulent. On Monday, shares surged an impressive 8.56% to reach $10.35, only to retreat by 4.9% the following day. These sharp fluctuations obscure a more fundamental concern: the stock is trading significantly below its estimated fair value. Market researchers note a clear divergence between the company's intrinsic worth and its current market price.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Freddie Mac?
Strategic Moves in a Shifting Interest Rate Environment
Freddie Mac remains active in managing its portfolio and planning for the future. The company recently sold $4.9 million in non-performing loans and published its financing calendar for 2026. Meanwhile, the broader market environment is shifting as the 30-year mortgage rate declined to 6.17% - marking the fourth consecutive week of falling rates.
The Valuation Conundrum Persists Despite Price Gains
The underlying numbers tell a compelling story. Even after delivering an extraordinary 700% return over the past year, Freddie Mac continues to operate at a loss. The company's losses have actually deepened over the last five years, declining at an annual rate of 48.5%.
The price-to-sales ratio of 1.3x sits well below the industry average of 2.4x. More striking is the gap between the current share price of $9.71 and the estimated fair value of $119.49, suggesting the stock may be significantly undervalued. The central question facing investors remains whether this represents a deeply discounted opportunity or warranted caution given ongoing regulatory uncertainties.
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