Chord Energy Gains Analyst Favor with Strategic Execution
06.12.2025 - 09:10:04Oasis Petroleum US6742152076
Shares of Chord Energy, the successor to Oasis Petroleum, ended Friday's trading session at $97.65. The company received a dual vote of confidence as it distributed its quarterly dividend and simultaneously earned a prestigious spot on RBC Capital's "Global Energy Best Ideas" list.
The inclusion by RBC Capital analysts was attributed to Chord Energy's solid financial foundation. The firm's research projects a free cash flow yield exceeding 10% for the company, a forecast underpinned by reserves deemed economically viable for more than a decade. This long-duration outlook provides a compelling stability narrative for institutional investors navigating the volatile energy sector.
Concurrent with this analyst endorsement, the company paid its scheduled quarterly cash dividend of $1.30 per share. This distribution translates to an annualized payout of $5.20, offering a dividend yield of approximately 5.33% based on Friday's closing share price.
Operational Beat and Shareholder Returns
Chord Energy's recent earnings report provided fundamental support for the optimistic outlook. For the third quarter of 2025, the company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $2.35, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.24. Year-over-year revenue saw a 17% increase, reaching $1.31 billion.
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The company's commitment to returning capital to shareholders is being aggressively executed. In Q3 2025, 69% of its adjusted free cash flow was directed back to investors through dividends and share repurchases. A significant $83.0 million was allocated specifically to buying back its own stock during that period alone.
Strategic Acquisition and Forward Path
Further strengthening its operational footprint, Chord Energy recently finalized the acquisition of Williston Basin assets from XTO Energy. This move is anticipated to enhance planning reliability and generate economies of scale.
The current favorable commodity price environment is providing a tailwind for the energy sector, particularly for established Williston Basin players like Chord Energy. Market observers are now focused on the potential for the company to realize the expected synergies from the XTO deal, with key milestones anticipated in the first half of 2026.
Analyst sentiment remains largely constructive. The consensus rating stands at "Moderate Buy," with 11 out of 14 covering analysts issuing a "Buy" recommendation. Upcoming quarterly results will be scrutinized for evidence that the projected double-digit free cash flow yield can be sustained over the long term.
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