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Can The Trade Desk Stock Regain Its Footing After Recent Turmoil?

14.11.2025 - 05:05:04

The Trade Desk US88339J1051

The advertising technology specialist has taken its shareholders on a volatile journey in recent months. Following robust quarterly results in early November, the stock experienced a severe downturn. Now, market observers are noting shifts in analyst sentiment. The latest development came from Zacks Research, which upgraded its rating on the shares from "strong sell" to "hold" this Thursday. This raises a crucial question for investors: does this mark the beginning of stability, or has the multi-year rally truly concluded?

Market experts remain divided on The Trade Desk's prospects. While the consensus rating continues to hover around "Buy," a substantial portion of analysts maintain their "Hold" recommendations. The central debate revolves around the company's valuation—does the recent price decline represent a buying opportunity, or does it accurately reflect decelerating growth momentum?

Key uncertainties dominate the investment discussion: What level of threat does Amazon pose in the advertising sector? How will recent management transitions impact operations? To what extent will macroeconomic pressures affect advertising budgets in 2026? Positive indicators include the company's strong performance in connected television and its new AI platform, Kokai, though market adoption of this technology remains under evaluation.

Strong Fundamentals Meet Growth Concerns

The third-quarter 2025 results initially appeared impressive. Revenue advanced by 17.7% to reach $739.4 million, surpassing expectations of approximately $719 million. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.45 also slightly exceeded projections. The company has maintained a client retention rate exceeding 95% for eleven consecutive years—an exceptional achievement within the technology sector.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying The Trade Desk?

However, market participants focused less on absolute figures and more on growth rates. The 17.7% revenue expansion represents the slowest pace since the first quarter of 2022. For a company that consistently delivered high double-digit growth rates for years, this cooling trend has raised concerns among investors. Skeptics see indications of potential weakness emerging.

Uncertain Path Forward

Management has set fourth-quarter targets of at least $840 million in revenue and approximately $375 million in adjusted EBITDA. These appear to be solid objectives on paper, but following the recent erosion of investor confidence, market participants will closely monitor whether these benchmarks are achieved. International expansion and the adoption of new platform features are expected to serve as crucial growth drivers.

Whether Zacks' rating upgrade initiates a sustained recovery or merely provides temporary relief within a broader downward trend will become clearer in the coming weeks. The advertising technology landscape continues to evolve rapidly, and The Trade Desk's ability to navigate these challenges will ultimately determine its trajectory.

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