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Can AI Investments Spark a Turnaround for Alibaba Shares?

31.10.2025 - 08:37:05

A Strategic Pivot Amid Market Uncertainty

As the broader technology sector faces significant pressure, Chinese e-commerce titan Alibaba is making a massive strategic bet on artificial intelligence. Despite recent stock price weakness, the company is channeling billions into this transformative technology, a move that could potentially deliver a positive market surprise. The central question remains whether this aggressive push into AI can sufficiently offset challenges within its core business segments.

Alibaba's substantial commitment to future technologies is compelling a market reassessment. The company is rapidly shedding its image as a mere online retailer and is being re-evaluated as a serious technology innovator. The scale of this ambition is underscored by a planned investment of approximately 380 billion yuan over the coming three years, directed toward AI, cloud computing, and data infrastructure.

This strategic shift is already yielding tangible results within one key division. While the tech industry grapples with widespread challenges, Alibaba's cloud unit has reported impressive performance, with revenues surging by 26 percent recently. This growth is largely attributed to strong demand for its artificial intelligence products and services.

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Contrasting Signals from Core Operations and Investors

Simultaneously, Alibaba's foundational e-commerce business is showing preliminary signs of stabilization. For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company's retail sales demonstrated a 10 percent increase, providing a glimmer of hope for a core segment that has faced headwinds.

The market's reaction to these mixed signals has been decidedly split. Investment strategies have diverged significantly, with some major stakeholders reducing their holdings while others have chosen to expand their positions. This division reflects the underlying uncertainty analysts are weighing. On one hand, the stock appears attractively valued, trading at a price-to-earnings ratio that sits below many of its industry peers. On the other hand, persistent risks remain, including intense domestic competition and ongoing U.S. export restrictions on critical semiconductors.

The Billion-Yuan Question

Alibaba shares continue to trade within a clear downward trend. However, the company's multi-billion yuan offensive into artificial intelligence represents a potential catalyst for a future reversal. The critical issue for investors is no longer if these substantial investments in AI will begin to yield returns, but rather when they will materialize—and whether that payoff will be powerful enough to fuel the long-awaited corporate comeback.

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