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Analysts See Buying Opportunity in TSMC Stock Amid Market Volatility

15.12.2025 - 05:58:04

TSMC US8740391003

Despite a sharp sell-off in its share price last Friday, the fundamental outlook for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) remains robust, according to a wave of fresh analyst commentary. The world's leading semiconductor foundry saw its stock decline by approximately 4.2%, closing at $292.04, even as its latest operational data paints a picture of sustained growth.

The recent share price movement stands in stark contrast to the company's financial results. TSMC reported consolidated revenue of NT$343.61 billion for November, representing a significant year-over-year increase of 24.5%. For the cumulative period covering the first eleven months of 2025, revenue growth is an impressive 32.8%.

These figures underscore resilient demand for the company's advanced chips, particularly those powering high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence accelerators. While the stock has faced pressure, the underlying business continues to operate at a high capacity.

Wall Street Upgrades and Bullish Price Targets

In response to the disconnect between price and performance, several research firms have issued positive notes. Wall Street Zen upgraded its rating on TSMC from "Hold" to "Buy." Susquehanna followed with a more bullish stance, raising its price target to $400 per share.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying TSMC?

This optimistic view is shared by other institutions. Barclays maintains a target of $355, while both Bernstein and UBS have set their objectives at $330. The consensus among analysts is clear: the current valuation is not a cause for concern but rather a potential entry point, with implied upside exceeding 30% in some cases.

Strategic Pivot in Japan to Capture AI Demand

Concurrently, TSMC is reportedly adjusting its manufacturing strategy in Japan. According to Nikkei Asia, the company's second planned facility in the country may now produce 4-nanometer chips, a shift from the originally intended 6- and 7-nanometer technologies. The plant is also expected to be equipped with advanced packaging capabilities.

This strategic pivot is a direct move to capture more of the booming AI market, where 4nm chips and CoWoS packaging are critical. Industry reports suggest that major customers have already secured over half of TSMC's CoWoS packaging capacity for the next two years.

Outlook: Weighing Fundamentals Against Macro Sentiment

The present situation highlights a tension between short-term market sentiment and medium-term business fundamentals. While macroeconomic factors and sector rotation may be weighing on the stock price, the company's strong sales data and strategic capacity expansions confirm its growth trajectory. Investors are left to determine whether the recent weakness is a temporary correction within a longer-term uptrend—a question on which analyst sentiment appears decidedly bullish.

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